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Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NESN, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 5:52 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were BOS 27, CGY 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Linus Ullmark (40 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark40 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1728112427
CGYCGY015116111242

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:43

2nd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:52
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    6:48
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.23win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    12:19

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    2:57
  2. CGY
    deflectedxG 0.09
    4-2
    18:24

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:32BOSBrad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:50CGYSean Monahan · Slashingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

2nd

  • 1:55BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 11:12BOSAnton Blidh · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min
  • 15:13BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

3rd

  • 6:20BOSTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 14:18CGYSean Monahan · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalBOS goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 5:52 — BOS 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.29M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.22M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.20D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.19M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.19S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.17B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.16M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.15E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.14M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.11M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.07E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.03O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 4.7 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCGY
1.94 G
All situations
2 G4.7
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G2.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS12%88%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 4.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
42
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
22
21
Blocked shots
7
9
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD101+120.11230—26:47
27J. MooreD000010.01130—19:30
75C. CliftonD101010.04520—18:55
63B. MarchandL112+250.33004—18:41
37P. BergeronC022+240.411105718:39
28D. ForbortD000+110.01320—18:39
13C. CoyleC000-110.000004718:34
6M. ReillyD000+110.01110—18:27
88D. PastrnakR011+220.14000—17:50
48M. GrzelcykD011+300.03032—17:09
20C. LazarC101+110.113106714:09
17N. FolignoL000010.011003313:49
71T. HallL000030.38022—13:38
12C. SmithC000010.05220012:52
56E. HaulaL000000.002003812:35
74J. DeBruskL000000.00000—11:51
81A. BlidhL011+110.00312—09:42
11T. FredericC022+220.242002509:06
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)42402.9524.70+2.7060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).