Ducks at Penguins 0-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

Pittsburgh Penguins

▸1

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSSD·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Anaheim Ducks 1-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock McGinn's goal at 5:12 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 33, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. John Gibson stopped 15 of 16 (.938); Casey DeSmith stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Brock McGinn (1 G), 3. Zachary Aston-Reese (1 A).

Three stars

★
C. DeSmith33 saves, 1.000
★★
B. McGinn1 G
★★★
Z. Aston-Reese1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	08	012	013	033
PIT	16	010	013	129

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

B. McGinn(7)
Z. Aston-Reese (7), C. Ruhwedel (2)
snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
0-1
5:12

Penalties

2 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

11:10Josh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
20:00Zachary Aston-Reese · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min

2nd

8:52Danton Heinen · Trippingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: PIT

100%

Biggest swing: Brock McGinn, 1st 5:12 — PIT 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att PIT

1 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.50 G
All situations: 1 G1.9; 1.70 G
Even strength: 1 G1.6; 0.70 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

62%38%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 29; 45%
Faceoffs: 55%; 0/2
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 4; 21
Hits: 27; 14
Blocked shots: 12; 2
Giveaways: 7; 5
Takeaways: 8

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
47H. LindholmD	0	1	0.03	1	2	0	—	23:35
4C. FowlerD	0	3	0.23	0	3	0	—	22:28
34J. DrysdaleD	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	—	22:26
15R. GetzlafC	0	3	0.25	3	0	0	50	21:25
19T. TerryR	0	5	0.51	1	0	0	—	21:07
42J. MansonD	0	1	0.00	2	3	2	—	19:27
67R. RakellR	-1	2	0.24	1	0	0	50	19:25
46T. ZegrasC	-1	1	0.18	1	0	0	33	18:43
12S. MilanoL	-1	2	0.24	0	0	0	—	17:20
23S. SteelC	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	50	17:11
22K. ShattenkirkD	-1	2	0.07	0	1	0	—	16:57
33J. SilfverbergR	0	4	0.32	0	2	0	—	15:32
38D. GrantC	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	0	14:50
21I. LundestromC	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	45	14:08
76J. MahuraD	-1	1	0.05	3	1	0	—	10:10
20N. DeslauriersL	0	2	0.14	4	0	0	—	08:47
39S. CarrickC	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	67	08:25
53B. RobinsonR	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	—	07:40

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(L)	16	15	1	.938	1.29	+0.29	40:00
41A. Stolarz	13	13	0	1.000	0.57	+0.57	18:12

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Dec 110@1this game
Jan 114@1Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins

1st period

1st

2nd

Box score