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Predators at Devils
NHL

Nashville Predators at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Devils scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 13:11 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 27% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 27, NJD 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Yakov Trenin (1 G), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    Y. Trenin1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0321816327
NJDNJD0619116231

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(9)
    J. Bratt (16), N. Hischier (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    11:34
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(9)
    P. Tomasino (4), F. Forsberg (6)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:11
  3. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(5)PPG
    M. Granlund (22), R. Josi (18)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    17:53

3rd period

  1. NSH
    Y. Trenin(5)
    N. Cousins (4), T. Jeannot (8)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    6:11
  2. NJD
    Y. Sharangovich(4)
    J. Hughes (3), A. Johnsson (10)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    3-2
    18:55

Penalties

NSH 15 PIM·NJD 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:26NSHAlexandre Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 7:51NSHDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 18:05NSHBen Harpur · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

2nd

  • 0:50NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min
  • 16:28NJDDawson Mercer · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 19:31NSHMikael Granlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 19:31NJDNico Hischier · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 19:31NSHMikael Granlund · Fightingdrawn by Nico Hischier5 min
  • 19:31NJDNico Hischier · Fightingdrawn by Mikael Granlund5 min

3rd

  • 0:40NSHEeli Tolvanen · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, 2nd 13:11 — NSH 27% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.24Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.20P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.16J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.13D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.09P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.07A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.03T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 3.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsNJD
2.83 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH44%56%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
11
34
Hits
18
6
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112+190.44310—23:05
57D. FabbroD000-100.00202—21:02
14M. EkholmD000-110.01100—19:44
28E. TolvanenR101020.29212—19:25
13Y. TreninC101020.44200019:01
92R. JohansenC000010.090007418:35
45A. CarrierD000+110.10312—18:23
64M. GranlundC011-110.002073918:18
11L. KuninC000030.26310018:12
9F. ForsbergL011020.26110—17:56
84T. JeannotL011010.33410—17:25
5M. BenningD000-110.03100—15:55
21N. CousinsC011+110.242001714:05
26P. TomasinoR011000.000005013:09
90M. BorowieckiD000-100.00400—12:26
82T. NovakC000010.141004011:41
24M. LuffR000010.12100—07:40
17B. HarpurD000+200.00202—05:58
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)31292.9353.04+1.0460:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).