Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 15:49 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.8 to 1.1; shots on goal were COL 34, MTL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Jake Allen stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Andre Burakovsky (1 G), 2. Cale Makar (1 G), 3. Ben Chiarot (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Burakovsky1 G

- ★★C. Makar1 G

- ★★★B. Chiarot1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-03:11
1-16:51
2-115:49
3rd period
3-12:31
4-117:11
Penalties
1st
- 3:46
Alex Newhook · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
- 13:48
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
- 17:08
Brett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
2nd
- 3:00
Tyson Jost · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
- 6:22
Gabriel Landeskog · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
- 9:14
Ryan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
3rd
- 7:34
David Savard · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
- 13:59
Gabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
- 17:45
Tyson Jost · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Allen2 min
- 17:45
Alexander Romanov · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 15:49 — 47% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.83 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.1
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 0 G0.9
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
- 0.61 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 1.05
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 15
- Hits
- 19
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 13
- Giveaways
- 17
- 3
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
COL leads 2-0
4@
1this game
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
