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Senators at Kings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
FinalTV BSW, SN1·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 10:23 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 32, LAK 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Cal Petersen stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (3 A), 2. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G), 3. Mikey Anderson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar3 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    V. Arvidsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    M. Anderson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT110111011232
LAKLAK12021116437

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    V. Arvidsson(4)PPG
    A. Kopitar (11), S. Durzi (2)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:59
  2. OTT
    M. Del Zotto(2)
    J. Norris (5)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:41

2nd period

  1. LAK
    C. Grundstrom(4)
    A. Kopitar (12)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:23
  2. LAK
    A. Kaliyev(4)
    A. Edler (7), M. Anderson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:14
  3. OTT
    C. Brown(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    18:33

3rd period

  1. LAK
    C. Grundstrom(5)EN
    A. Kopitar (13), A. Edler (8)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:26

Penalties

OTT 14 PIM·LAK 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:56OTTMichael Del Zotto · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 7:27OTTDylan Gambrell · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 7:27LAKAdrian Kempe · Embellishment2 min
  • 8:57OTTZachary Sanford · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 11:49OTTNikita Zaitsev · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 6:30OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

3rd

  • 13:51LAKBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:51OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 13:51LAKBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:51OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 13:51LAKBrendan Lemieux · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Brady Tkachuk10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalOTT goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 2nd 10:23 — LAK 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.92B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.19C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.18V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.18A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.17S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.14B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.13D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.12P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.10D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.09V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kaliyev · Goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01
LAK4 G · 4.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsLAK
2.02 G
All situations
3 G4.5
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT24%76%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 3.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsLAK
32
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/4
14
Penalty minutes
16
37
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000+130.27002—24:53
2A. ZubD000000.00320—22:05
28C. BrownR101030.39200—21:52
21N. PaulL000+100.003102020:19
22N. ZaitsevD000040.05402—20:09
18T. StützleC000030.175102020:07
98V. MeteD000010.04010—17:53
9J. NorrisC011010.031105517:50
13Z. SanfordL000-120.3930210017:11
7B. TkachukL000020.035046317:01
5N. HoldenD000-220.03110—16:11
15M. Del ZottoD101030.08112—13:37
63T. EnnisR000-100.0030010012:42
10A. FormentonL000-120.17310—12:23
27D. GambrellC000-140.301024412:01
71C. TierneyC000000.000004311:08
16A. WatsonL000-120.04200—08:35
20L. ShawR000-100.000103305:52
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)36333.9173.57+0.5759:08

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).