St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 1:27. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 1:27 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 25, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. DeBrincat1 G

- ★★P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A

- ★★★B. Hagel1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-00:59
2-016:39
2nd period
2-10:34
3rd period
2-214:56
Overtime
2-31:27
Penalties
1st
- 5:03
Vladimir Tarasenko · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
- 14:54
Kirby Dach · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
2nd
- 0:28
Brayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jake McCabe5 min
- 0:28
Jake McCabe · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
- 10:25
Pavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Henrik Borgstrom2 min
3rd
- 1:37
Ivan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 1:27 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.52 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.9
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.6
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 1.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 7
- 17
- Hits
- 33
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 4
- Giveaways
- 14
- 9
- Takeaways
- 16
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
