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Red Wings at Golden Knights
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSDET·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Whitecloud's goal at 5:56 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.7, VGK 2.9; shots on goal were DET 28, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.0 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Whitecloud (2 G), 2. Nicolas Hague (1 G), 3. Robin Lehner (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    Z. Whitecloud2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Hague1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    R. Lehner26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0131817228
VGKVGK08414110532

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.27win prob +7 pts
    0-1
    3:31
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    0-2
    5:56
  3. DET
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:19
  4. VGK
    N. Roy (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    12:32
  5. VGK
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:06

3rd period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    5:19
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.17
    2-5
    18:34

Penalties

DET 9 PIM·VGK 7 PIM

1st

  • 11:36DETDanny DeKeyser · Hookingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 16:59DETLucas Raymond · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

2nd

  • 2:48VGKBen Hutton · Fightingdrawn by Adam Erne5 min
  • 2:48DETAdam Erne · Fightingdrawn by Ben Hutton5 min
  • 6:21VGKBrayden McNabb · Closing hand on puck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalDET goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Whitecloud, 2nd 5:56 — VGK 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hague · Goal · xG 0.27B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.18E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.18R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.15N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.14E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.14E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.13N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.11P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Whitecloud · Goal · xG 0.10J. Rondbjerg · Missed · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.06P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Goal · xG 0.03J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Baertschi · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK5 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsVGK
2.72 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.42 G
Even strength
5 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET46%54%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
26
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
6
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-120.13420—22:06
2N. LeddyD000-100.00000—20:44
28G. LindstromD000+110.01010—19:37
65D. DeKeyserD000-300.00022—19:04
53M. SeiderD000-300.00150—18:59
82J. OesterleD000+100.00010—18:54
24P. SuterC000-120.200004417:19
59T. BertuzziL000010.11000—16:44
14R. FabbriC011-110.1031010016:36
23L. RaymondL000000.16212—16:23
71D. LarkinC011050.800005715:58
11F. ZadinaR000-130.23100—15:52
90J. VelenoC101-140.322002014:59
89S. GagnerC011-120.100006714:24
92V. NamestnikovC000-120.11110013:07
27M. RasmussenC000-210.105001812:49
48G. SmithR101040.22400—11:54
73A. ErneL000-100.15325—10:37
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(L)22184.8182.03-1.9740:00
39A. Nedeljkovic1091.9000.90-0.1020:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).