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San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSCA, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Sharks scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nate Schmidt's goal at 14:11 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 5.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were SJS 27, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. James Reimer stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. Nate Schmidt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Schmidt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1100809127
WPGWPG110213111434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:28
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:38

2nd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    14:11
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry (2), A. Copp (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:16

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.93
    1-4
    19:27

Penalties

SJS 13 PIM·WPG 7 PIM

1st

  • 13:38SJSJasper Weatherby · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:24SJSJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 2:24WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 7:24SJSLogan Couture · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:02SJSRyan Merkley · Roughingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min
  • 10:02WPGDominic Toninato · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Merkley2 min

3rd

  • 0:16SJSNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSJS goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nate Schmidt, 2nd 14:11 — WPG 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.93B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.24N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.16A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.12P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11J. Harkins · Goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.08E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05K. Vesalainen · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.03K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG4 G · 5.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsWPG
2.21 G
All situations
3 G5.0
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS22%78%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 4.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
34
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/0
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
7
19
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000-110.03240—26:32
88B. BurnsD011-140.09410—26:26
48T. HertlC000-230.340005319:38
53N. MelocheD000-230.06120—18:58
92R. BalcersL000-130.3321010018:50
39L. CoutureC000-210.090026517:59
24J. MegnaD000-110.13120—16:43
94A. BarabanovL000-100.00010—16:41
6R. MerkleyD000020.10012—16:35
13N. BoninoC000-220.120126015:38
10N. MerkleyR000-100.24100—15:12
61S. HatakkaD000-100.01110—14:53
11A. CoglianoC101+120.09000013:44
26J. WeatherbyC000010.123122513:39
76J. DahlenC000-210.40010013:31
43J. LeonardL000020.03110—11:05
42J. GadjovichL000000.03305—09:54
18L. PedersonC000010.0200010007:11
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)33303.9094.10+1.1058:48

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).