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Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Florida Panthers 7-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Devils led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was P.K. Subban's goal at 18:15 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 38, NJD 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.4 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andreas Johnsson (2 G), 3. Ty Smith (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Johnsson2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Smith1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA112212014338
NJDNJD2132939731

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:53
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    15:46
  3. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:45

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:24
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:29
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    1:58
  4. NJD
    slapxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    18:15

3rd period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(6)PPG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    4:44
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    3-6
    5:13
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.22
    3-7
    16:11

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:50NJDAlexander Holtz · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 14:08FLALucas Carlsson · Trippingdrawn by Tyce Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 11:52NJDAndreas Johnsson · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 18:39FLARadko Gudas · Chargingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

3rd

  • 3:04FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 8:30FLAPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Holtz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalFLA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: P.K. Subban, 2nd 18:15 — NJD 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.27J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.22P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.19A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.15A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.14P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.12J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.09A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.09P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.06R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.05J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.05R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.04R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Goal · xG 0.03A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.03T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01T. Smith · Goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD7 G · 2.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNJD
3.43 G
All situations
6 G2.9
3.13 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA64%36%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNJD
38
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-130.22110—22:36
52M. WeegarD000-120.07510—21:22
42G. ForslingD011010.08100—19:53
62B. MontourD000-160.35110—19:48
16A. BarkovC101040.743103618:06
7R. GudasD000010.12322—17:13
15A. LundellC000-130.150005516:59
9S. BennettC101+140.432025616:58
10A. DuclairL011020.24000—16:44
11J. HuberdeauL011+110.13200—16:08
23C. VerhaegheC022+120.05000015:22
32L. CarlssonD000-130.12112—15:14
13S. ReinhartC000-100.15110013:50
74O. TippettR112+140.352102513:36
98M. MaminC000-300.01300013:24
77F. VatranoR000-110.1620010012:52
27E. LuostarinenC000-200.010005412:09
70P. HornqvistR000-310.06112—11:38
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)30246.8002.63-3.3758:28

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).