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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSCH, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 0:47 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.1 to 1.3; shots on goal were CHI 18, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.9 goals below expected; Eric Comrie stopped 17 of 18 (.944). Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (3 A), 2. Paul Stastny (1 G), 3. Eric Comrie (17 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Copp3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Stastny1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    E. Comrie17 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI090514118
WPGWPG27211115533

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:47
  2. WPG
    N. Pionk(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    2:23

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:48
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    15:17

3rd period

  1. CHI
    S. Jones (10), K. Dach (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    0:56
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08
    1-5
    14:03

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:55CHIMike Hardman · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 11:34WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Holding the stickdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 12:46CHIAlex DeBrincat · High stickingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 18:38WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 19:15CHIDylan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 1st 0:47 — WPG 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.25P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.23P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.18D. Toninato · Goal · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.12E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.08N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
1.31 G
All situations
5 G3.1
0.80 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI19%81%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.31 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
18
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD011-100.19110—25:34
5C. MurphyD000-210.02230—23:23
44C. de HaanD000-110.01330—20:28
6J. McCabeD000010.01420—20:13
88P. KaneR000-330.30010—18:53
19J. ToewsC000-120.130006517:31
12A. DeBrincatR000000.04312—17:24
56E. GustafssonD000-120.06000—16:23
22R. CarpenterC000010.01510015:58
17D. StromeC000-110.000125015:57
38B. HagelL000-100.02000—15:41
77K. DachC011-220.070001714:43
23P. KurashevC000000.000003013:30
8D. KubalikL000-300.00100—12:58
58M. EntwistleR101+120.092005012:49
11A. GaudetteR000010.24200—11:30
86M. HardmanL000000.00202—11:29
74N. BeaudinD000-110.12010—11:08
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)33285.8483.12-1.8860:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).