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Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV BSAZ+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Utah Mammoth 3-0. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 6:54 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were ARI 29, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Couturier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Carter Hart (29 saves, 1.000), 3. Karel Vejmelka (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Hart29 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0130907029
PHIPHI013010311334

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +28 pts
    0-1
    6:54
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.22win prob +7 pts
    0-2
    17:51
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.93win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    18:23

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·PHI 0 PIM

1st

  • 14:28ARIVictor Soderstrom · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min

2nd

  • 16:59ARIserved by P. Kessel · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 8:39ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalARI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 3rd 6:54 — PHI 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.93S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.22T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.19T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.17R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.17S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.15Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.13S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.13C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.11O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.11R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 4.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsPHI
2.10 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI33%67%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
34
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/0
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
25
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
61D. MayoD000010.05160—25:10
6J. ChychrunD000-160.11100—25:03
86A. StralmanD000-110.08100—20:37
22J. LarssonL000-110.094103120:17
14S. GostisbehereD000-120.10002—19:31
9C. KellerR000-120.200305018:34
67L. CrouseL000-110.32320—17:38
93D. JaskinR000-110.15600—17:07
83J. BeagleC000-100.001005416:46
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.05310—16:30
81P. KesselR000-140.15000—16:02
16A. LaddL000-210.16220—14:47
29B. HaytonC000-110.162003014:13
21L. ErikssonL000-130.1800010013:58
77V. SoderstromD000-210.16112—13:52
36C. FischerR000010.010003309:14
26A. RousselL000010.13010—07:30
38L. O'BrienC000010.03000007:26
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)33312.9393.13+1.1359:45

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).