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Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ROOT-NW, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 5-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Turris's goal at 2:57 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 77% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were SEA 29, EDM 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 1.7 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 2 A), 2. Duncan Keith (1 G), 3. Mikko Koskinen (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    D. Keith1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1611409229
EDMEDM2418211523

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:12
  2. SEA
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:09
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    6:01

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:47
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    18:40

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.27win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    2:57
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.17win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    12:22

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:31SEAMark Giordano · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 18:19EDMDevin Shore · High stickingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

2nd

  • 2:21EDMSlater Koekkoek · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 6:06EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Trippingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 15:18SEAMax McCormick · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 15:18EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Max McCormick2 min
  • 19:31SEAAlexander Wennberg · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

3rd

  • 4:15SEAJeremy Lauzon · Interferencedrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSEA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Turris, 3rd 2:57 — EDM 77% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.34K. Turris · Goal · xG 0.27D. Keith · Goal · xG 0.23L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.21K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.15D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.07K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05T. Benson · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM5 G · 3.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsEDM
2.92 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.42 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA43%57%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
23
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000-100.00450—21:32
55J. LauzonD000-110.02422—21:24
37Y. GourdeC011010.071003820:49
24J. OleksiakD011020.08210—20:27
21A. WennbergC000030.450024619:38
17J. SchwartzL101040.37200—17:57
19C. JarnkrokC000030.170103317:52
7J. EberleR000-230.43210—17:36
72J. DonskoiR000-110.15110—17:28
28C. SoucyD101020.23420—17:28
5M. GiordanoD011-100.02002—17:22
13B. TanevL000-140.33310—15:53
29V. DunnD000-110.05110—15:47
9R. DonatoC000010.07200012:28
15R. SheahanC000-100.000004011:22
67M. GeekieC000-110.200007511:22
71M. McCormickL000-120.25302—09:03
14N. BastianR011+100.00010—08:12
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)23185.7833.32-1.6859:50

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).