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Coyotes at Panthers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV BSAZ, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Utah Mammoth 5-3. The Coyotes scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 6:00 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were ARI 21, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Montour (2 A), 3. Joe Thornton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    B. Montour2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Thornton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1107213321
FLAFLA111220210541

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(3)
    N. Schmaltz (1)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:43
  2. FLA
    J. Thornton(1)PPG
    S. Reinhart (3), B. Montour (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    19:41

2nd period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(1)
    B. Montour (2), P. Hornqvist (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:00
  2. FLA
    A. Ekblad(3)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (5), S. Bennett (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    10:19

3rd period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(3)
    S. Bennett (3), O. Tippett (2)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    6:54
  2. ARI
    L. O'Brien(1)
    C. Fischer (1), A. Stralman (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    11:57
  3. ARI
    P. Kessel(1)
    I. Lyubushkin (2), J. Larsson (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    12:31
  4. FLA
    A. Duclair(4)EN
    M. Weegar (4), A. Barkov (4)
    wristxG 0.72win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:21

Penalties

ARI 23 PIM·FLA 9 PIM

1st

  • 18:22ARIClayton Keller · Interferencedrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

2nd

  • 9:12FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel5 min
  • 9:12ARIRyan Dzingel · Instigatordrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 9:12ARIRyan Dzingel · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 9:12ARIRyan Dzingel · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 10:55FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 14:40ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 1:47FLAMason Marchment · Hookingdrawn by Victor Soderstrom2 min
  • 1:47ARIVictor Soderstrom · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalARI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 2nd 6:00 — FLA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.72J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.19F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11J. Thornton · Goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.10G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.4 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsFLA
1.43 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.13 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI27%73%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsFLA
21
Shots on goal
41
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
2/3
23
Penalty minutes
9
33
Hits
23
20
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
13
14
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-120.09010—26:46
86A. StralmanD011+110.00220—24:14
14S. GostisbehereD000-210.08010—20:23
77V. SoderstromD000000.00022—20:08
67L. CrouseL000030.19110—19:20
93D. JaskinR000030.20200—17:58
9C. KellerR101030.411143317:44
22J. LarssonL011010.083101917:43
46I. LyubushkinD011+210.10340—17:38
81P. KesselR101020.1900010016:52
83J. BeagleC000010.012206715:34
8N. SchmaltzC011+100.000105615:14
36C. FischerR011-220.042103614:33
21L. ErikssonL000000.00210—13:02
16A. LaddL000000.00310—12:28
25C. TimminsD000000.00200—10:05
38L. O'BrienC101010.01800008:44
10R. DzingelC000000.012117006:00
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)29263.8971.86-1.1439:08
40C. Hutton11101.9090.77-0.2320:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).