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Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
New Jersey Devils
▸2
Final/OTTV MSG-B, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 in overtime, Pavel Zacha scoring at 3:09. The Sabres scored first; the Devils answered. The Sabres led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 3:09 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were BUF 25, NJD 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Dustin Tokarski stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Nico Daws stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Zacha (1 G), 2. Nico Hischier (1 G), 3. Nico Daws (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    P. Zacha1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Daws24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF113060600125
NJDNJD0801411512239

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    D. Cozens(1)PPG
    J. Bryson (3), K. Okposo (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    3:19

3rd period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(1)PPG
    D. Hamilton (1), T. Tatar (3)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    5:52

Overtime

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(2)
    D. Severson (2), Y. Sharangovich (3)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:09

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:57NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 4:07BUFArttu Ruotsalainen · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 4:07NJDserved by J. Vesey · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 1:00BUFVictor Olofsson · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 3:17BUFJacob Bryson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:42NJDDawson Mercer · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Asplund2 min

3rd

  • 4:24BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, OT 3:09 — NJD 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.28M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.20J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.20N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.19D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.17T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.14T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.14T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.12A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.09D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
2.61 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.50 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF36%64%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
39
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
13
12
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-100.24512—25:53
8R. HaggD000010.01630—20:28
4W. ButcherD000010.18220—20:26
13M. PysykD000020.05210—18:43
33C. MillerD000000.00120—18:37
78J. BrysonD011000.00312—18:14
71V. OlofssonL000010.02002—17:32
74R. AsplundC000010.27200017:28
24D. CozensC101-120.140002916:51
72T. ThompsonC000020.071002716:47
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.101004216:12
29V. HinostrozaC000020.22100015:44
21K. OkposoR011020.1110010015:40
53J. SkinnerL000-120.341202515:33
91D. CaggiulaL000020.33100—14:05
25A. RuotsalainenC000040.291021413:06
96A. BjorkL000000.03100—11:37
15J. HaydenC000020.2211010008:57
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Tokarski(O)39372.9493.54+1.5463:09

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).