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Hurricanes at Canadiens
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV BSSO, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 2:12 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were CAR 33, MTL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G), 3. Frederik Andersen (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR010210213433
MTLMTL05112011128

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    0:23
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    2:12
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    17:57

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Skjei (1), S. Aho (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    9:23
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(2)EN
    wristxG 0.53
    4-1
    19:21

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:11CARTony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 3:15MTLJonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
  • 3:56CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 10:18CARDerek Stepan · Slashingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 18:27MTLChristian Dvorak · Slashingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

2nd

  • 5:59CARVincent Trocheck · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 16:50CARserved by A. Svechnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 4:59CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCAR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 2nd 2:12 — CAR 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.31T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.17T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.07J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMTL
2.93 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.92 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR46%54%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMTL
33
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/1
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
21
20
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+100.01100—24:34
22B. PesceD000+110.03150—22:04
76B. SkjeiD011+120.12120—21:01
25E. BearD000020.03140—20:30
20S. AhoC213+251.080108018:43
86T. TeravainenC022+230.14100017:38
11J. StaalC000020.464008016:24
16V. TrocheckC022+210.015223616:09
77T. DeAngeloD011+110.03012—16:07
88M. NecasC011+100.081103316:00
37A. SvechnikovR101+170.43004—15:20
71J. FastR000000.00120—14:14
28I. ColeD000+210.01010—14:10
82J. KotkaniemiC101+130.16310012:58
18D. StepanC000010.130024012:52
21N. NiederreiterR000020.04100—11:48
48J. MartinookL000020.11100—09:48
78S. LorentzC000000.000005008:37
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)28271.9642.48+1.4860:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).