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Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

Final/OTTV NHLN, MSG·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1 in overtime, Artemi Panarin scoring at 3:48. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 3:48 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 23, TOR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Jack Campbell stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (40 saves, .976), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G), 3. Jack Campbell (21 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Campbell21 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR110020714223
TORTOR0121170903141

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:49

2nd period

  1. TOR
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:36

Overtime

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    3:48

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:09NYRBarclay Goodrow · High stickingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 16:33NYRJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min

2nd

  • 2:00TORTravis Dermott · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 9:54TORserved by J. Tavares · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:42NYRJulien Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min

3rd

  • 11:46TORJake Muzzin · Hookingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, OT 3:48 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.22A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.19W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.10W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.06T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.05P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.05J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.03O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR1 G · 3.7 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
2.52 G
All situations
1 G3.7
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G3.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR30%70%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
23
Shots on goal
41
24%
Faceoffs
76%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
14
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000+200.02120—28:22
20C. KreiderL000040.16300—23:11
93M. ZibanejadC112+240.560102922:44
8J. TroubaD000020.24222—22:36
10A. PanarinL101020.13100—21:34
55R. LindgrenD000+110.06020—19:30
12P. NemethD000-110.03320—17:45
21B. GoodrowC000-110.045021417:07
72F. ChytilC000-110.440002517:01
27N. LundkvistD000-100.04000—16:19
79K. MillerD000000.07420—16:13
13A. LafrenièreL000000.00100—15:23
91S. BlaisL000030.30300—14:47
17K. RooneyC000010.082102712:55
29D. HuntL000+110.07200—10:49
14G. McKeggC000010.102202510:45
75R. ReavesR000+100.00400—09:16
15J. GauthierR000010.11002—09:07
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)41401.9763.74+2.7463:48

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).