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Stars at Senators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, BSSW·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Stars scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Tierney's goal at 9:20 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 59% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 34, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Chris Tierney (2 G), 2. Connor Brown (3 A), 3. Filip Gustavsson (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Tierney2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Brown3 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    F. Gustavsson32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL14017113234
OTTOTT11021205327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    M. Raffl(1)
    A. Radulov (1), R. Faksa (1)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    4:34
  2. OTT
    N. Paul(1)
    C. Brown (1), A. Zub (1)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    5:24

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. Tierney(2)PPG
    S. Pinto (1), C. Brown (2)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:20
  2. OTT
    C. Tierney(3)PPG
    Z. Sanford (1), C. Brown (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    19:00

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(1)
    M. Raffl (1), R. Faksa (2)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +10 pts
    2-3
    14:17

Penalties

DAL 11 PIM·OTT 9 PIM

1st

  • 1:52OTTJoshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Benn5 min
  • 1:52DALJamie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
  • 13:25OTTShane Pinto · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 19:12OTTTim Stützle · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

2nd

  • 7:23DALMichael Raffl · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyler Ennis4 min
  • 18:33DALAndrej Sekera · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDAL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Tierney, 2nd 9:20 — OTT 59% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.39T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.19C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.18T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.17C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.17N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.16S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.12N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.11L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.10T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.08C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.07N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.06N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsOTT
1.92 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL39%61%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsOTT
34
Shots on goal
27
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
36
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-150.13110—27:47
20R. SuterD000-110.05020—24:09
91T. SeguinC000010.032005824:03
23E. LindellD000040.04320—21:14
14J. BennL000010.013357719:39
47A. RadulovR011+120.30110—19:39
5A. SekeraD000020.20212—17:34
12R. FaksaC022+230.232004516:12
16J. PavelskiC101040.390006014:20
40J. PetersonC000010.02100014:14
18M. RafflL112+220.25504—13:19
34D. GurianovR000020.03100—13:19
11L. GlendeningC000000.001005413:01
2J. HakanpääD000+220.11310—12:43
44J. HanleyD000+220.03110—12:27
64T. KeroC000-110.02110012:23
24R. HintzC000-110.10100011:12
25J. KivirantaL000000.00800—09:36
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)27243.8892.50-0.5058:45

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).