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Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Dallas Stars 4-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Pysyk's goal at 2:16 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 8% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 39, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.9 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Lankinen (37 saves, .949), 2. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 3. MacKenzie Entwistle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    K. Lankinen37 saves, .949
  2. ★★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    M. Entwistle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL117010112239
CHICHI3905111425

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:23
  2. DAL
    J. Benn (22)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:40
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    10:31
  4. CHI
    P. Kane (51), B. Hagel (15)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    18:24

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    2:16
  2. CHI
    P. Suter (12), C. Murphy (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    16:48

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·CHI 0 PIM

1st

  • 18:02DALMark Pysyk · Kneeingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

3rd

  • 4:40DALTanner Kero · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Pysyk, 3rd 2:16 — DAL 8% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.18D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.13M. Entwistle · Goal · xG 0.13P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.07P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.05P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02
CHI4 G · 2.1 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
3.32 G
All situations
4 G2.1
3.02 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL69%31%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
39
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/0
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
34
Hits
33
13
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000030.10300—24:35
3J. KlingbergD000-310.07220—22:20
2J. OleksiakD000-120.09110—21:56
23E. LindellD000020.03410—20:25
21J. RobertsonL000030.2920010019:14
16J. PavelskiC000-230.340106717:19
34D. GurianovR101+140.45100—17:04
14J. BennL011+140.562004716:52
12R. FaksaC011+130.333105016:35
18J. DickinsonC000-230.151107516:04
44J. HanleyD000000.00020—15:29
5A. SekeraD000+210.03010—15:15
11A. CoglianoC000010.06000014:43
15B. ComeauL000-130.232005014:08
13M. PysykD101+130.35012—12:45
49R. GardnerC000-110.055107512:44
64T. KeroC000+110.11412011:32
25J. KivirantaL000-210.07400—11:00
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)25214.8402.12-1.8857:38

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).