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Canucks at Senators
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
3
Ottawa Senators
▸6
FinalTV TVAS, SNP·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-3. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Tierney's goal at 0:38 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.5 to 1.3; shots on goal were VAN 22, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.8 goals below expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Formenton (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Formenton2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0102616322
OTTOTT111412110633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    V. Mete(1)
    A. Formenton (1), S. Pinto (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:04

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. Tierney(6)
    R. Dzingel (5), T. Chabot (25)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:38
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(15)
    B. Tkachuk (18)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:10
  3. VAN
    T. Myers(5)
    O. Juolevi (1), N. Hoglander (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    5:43
  4. OTT
    T. Chabot(5)
    N. Paul (13), A. Formenton (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    6:36
  5. VAN
    J. Virtanen(5)
    T. Motte (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    7:23
  6. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(16)
    D. Batherson (15), E. Brannstrom (7)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    16:13

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. White(10)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27
    2-6
    14:33
  2. VAN
    B. Sutter(9)
    T. Myers (13), Q. Hughes (30)
    wristxG 0.04
    3-6
    17:43

Penalties

VAN 16 PIM·OTT 14 PIM

1st

  • 8:05OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 8:05VANZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 9:30OTTShane Pinto · Boardingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 16:52VANJayce Hawryluk · High stickingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min

3rd

  • 3:00VANZack MacEwen · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 5:59VANserved by J. Virtanen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:44OTTNick Paul · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 8:44VANTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Nick Paul5 min
  • 8:44OTTNick Paul · Playing without a helmet2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVAN goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Tierney, 2nd 0:38 — OTT 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. White · Goal · xG 0.27C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.25J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.17C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.17E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.16S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.16A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.16C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.13C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.13E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.12C. White · On goal · xG 0.11D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08V. Mete · Goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.04S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.02V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT6 G · 3.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsOTT
1.33 G
All situations
5 G3.5
1.23 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN18%82%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.30 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsOTT
22
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
14
23
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-310.01000—23:24
88N. SchmidtD000020.04130—22:18
57T. MyersD112-230.06200—21:08
23A. EdlerD000+110.03030—20:17
53B. HorvatC000-100.081005019:22
27T. HamonicD000-110.02055—18:52
9J. MillerC000-110.014004018:30
36N. HoglanderL011020.16100—18:14
64T. MotteC011+100.00300017:10
70T. PearsonL000-120.02210—16:59
15M. HighmoreC000010.22020016:09
6B. BoeserR000-230.13000—15:40
20B. SutterC101-210.041005313:53
72T. BoydC000030.141005012:19
48O. JuoleviD011-100.00100—11:33
13J. HawrylukR000-300.07202—10:32
18J. VirtanenR101+110.27200—09:29
71Z. MacEwenR000-200.00217—09:15
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)32275.8443.19-1.8158:56

Season series

VAN leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).