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Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV BSSW, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 8:49 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 31, NSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Khudobin (21 saves, .955), 2. Roope Hintz (1 A), 3. Esa Lindell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin21 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11011328431
NSHNSH1110407122

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    E. Lindell(4)
    B. Comeau (7), J. Dickinson (5)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:39
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(5)
    Y. Trenin (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:21

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(8)
    R. Hintz (13), J. Pavelski (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    8:49

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(6)PPG
    D. Gurianov (12), J. Klingberg (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    1:41
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(5)EN
    J. Pavelski (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:51

Penalties

DAL 11 PIM·NSH 19 PIM

1st

  • 7:19DALEsa Lindell · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

2nd

  • 6:11DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 12:50NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Tanner Kero2 min
  • 19:46NSHMattias Ekholm · High stickingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 5:26DALBlake Comeau · Interferencedrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 19:53NSHLuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea5 min
  • 19:53DALTy Dellandrea · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 20:00NSHMathieu Olivier · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 8:49 — DAL 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.23C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.16R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.15C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.11M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.10E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.10E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
2.23 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL56%44%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
22
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
19
26
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. OleksiakD000+120.24710—27:32
4M. HeiskanenD101+120.28100—25:55
3J. KlingbergD011+120.06010—22:13
23E. LindellD101+120.16432—21:50
12R. FaksaC000050.412125519:36
16J. PavelskiC022+200.062006217:58
24R. HintzC011+120.091007117:42
18J. DickinsonC011+210.031003317:05
21J. RobertsonL101+210.14000—17:03
5A. SekeraD000000.00020—16:40
14J. BennL101020.18210—16:34
34D. GurianovR011030.23000—15:40
15B. ComeauL011+210.01002—14:04
11A. CoglianoC000040.19000013:59
10T. DellandreaC000-110.01405010:59
64T. KeroC000-110.06000007:48
49R. GardnerC000-120.032002507:17
44J. HanleyD000000.02010—04:15
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)22211.9551.80+0.8059:50

Season series

NSH leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).