New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 4-2. The Rangers scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teddy Blueger's goal at 2:40 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 69%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.7, PIT 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 35, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tristan Jarry (33 saves, .943), 3. Teddy Blueger (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★T. Jarry33 saves, .943

- ★★★T. Blueger1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-09:16
1-118:54
2nd period
1-22:40
1-319:40
3rd period
2-33:18
2-419:27
Penalties
1st
- 4:20
Brendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min
- 12:55
served by A. Angello · Too many men on the ice2 min
2nd
- 0:55
Mike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
3rd
- 3:11
Sidney Crosby · Holdingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Teddy Blueger, 2nd 2:40 — 51% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.72 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.6
- 1.71 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.2
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 1.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 58
- Hits
- 37
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 2
- Giveaways
- 8
- 4
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 6-2
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
