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New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 4-2. The Rangers scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teddy Blueger's goal at 2:40 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 69%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.7, PIT 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 35, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tristan Jarry (33 saves, .943), 3. Teddy Blueger (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Blueger1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR17013115235
PITPIT11621011427

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:16
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:54

2nd period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    2:40
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    19:40

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    3:18
  2. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:27

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:20NYRBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Teddy Blueger2 min
  • 12:55PITserved by A. Angello · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 0:55PITMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

3rd

  • 3:11PITSidney Crosby · Holdingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Teddy Blueger, 2nd 2:40 — PIT 51% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.39B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.36J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.25B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.22B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.19T. Blueger · Goal · xG 0.17K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.10M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06A. Angello · On goal · xG 0.05B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
2.72 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR65%35%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
35
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
58
Hits
37
11
Blocked shots
23
2
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011-220.03110—22:52
79K. MillerD000-100.00510—21:02
8J. TroubaD000-110.05310—20:48
93M. ZibanejadC000-160.823104420:03
55R. LindgrenD000-220.12610—19:06
13A. LafrenièreL000-120.142005018:29
16R. StromeC101-130.262004717:08
89P. BuchnevichL011-130.42110—16:40
27J. JohnsonD101020.06110—16:33
42B. SmithD000+110.02402—16:27
24K. KakkoR000-130.35110—16:10
20C. KreiderL011010.02610—16:00
12J. GauthierR011-120.1640010015:23
72F. ChytilC000-230.12010013:05
43C. BlackwellC000030.0730010013:00
17K. RooneyC000-110.027007312:55
21B. HowdenC000-100.002106412:35
33P. Di GiuseppeL000-100.05700—11:19
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
71K. Kinkaid(L)26233.8851.86-1.1458:25

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).