Ducks at Golden Knights 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

▸1

Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-SD·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 1-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Maxime Comtois's goal at 12:18 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.1 to 1.3; shots on goal were ANA 28, VGK 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. John Gibson stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Maxime Comtois (1 G), 2. John Gibson (21 saves, 1.000), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

★
M. Comtois1 G
★★
J. Gibson21 saves, 1.000
★★★
M. Fleury27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	013	08	17	128
VGK	04	07	010	021

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

M. Comtois(6)
R. Rakell (5), C. Fowler (3)
snapxG 0.12win prob +35 pts
1-0
12:18

Penalties

4 PIM·

14 PIM

1st

17:02Max Jones · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

2nd

3:43Derek Grant · Holdingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
5:31Jonathan Marchessault · Holdingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
5:31Jonathan Marchessault · Abuse of officials10 min

3rd

2:45served by K. Kolesar · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: VGK

Biggest swing: Maxime Comtois, 3rd 12:18 — ANA 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.3 xG · 32 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att VGK

0 G · 1.3 xG · 32 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.11 G
All situations: 0 G1.3; 1.81 G
Even strength: 0 G1.1; 0.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

67%33%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 1.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 21; 56%
Faceoffs: 44%; 0/2
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 14; 39
Hits: 26; 25
Blocked shots: 12; 3
Giveaways: 5; 11
Takeaways: 13

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
47H. LindholmD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	—	23:03
22K. ShattenkirkD	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	2	0	—	22:40
28J. HakanpääD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	7	3	0	—	19:35
4C. FowlerD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	1	0	—	18:44
15R. GetzlafC	0	0	0	0	4	0.51	2	1	0	75	18:38
33J. SilfverbergR	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	100	18:32
67R. RakellR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.41	3	0	0	—	17:33
14A. HenriqueC	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	0	16:42
7B. HuttonD	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	2	0	—	16:25
32J. LarssonD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	—	16:02
48I. LundestromC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	0	0	0	20	15:47
49M. JonesL	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	7	0	2	—	15:13
53M. ComtoisL	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	2	3	0	100	15:10
24C. RowneyC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	3	0	100	13:44
38D. GrantC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	4	2	40	13:44
61T. TerryR	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	0	—	12:00
21D. BackesR	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	3	0	60	11:59
20N. DeslauriersL	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	—	10:29

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(W)	21	21	0	1.000	1.30	+1.30	60:00

Season series

VGK leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score