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Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV NBCSN, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Vancouver Canucks 7-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 14:56 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 42, VAN 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.2 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 35 of 42 (.833), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Armia (2 G, 2 A), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G), 3. Tyler Toffoli (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Armia2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    T. Toffoli2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL212418112742
VANVAN270317317

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:54
  2. VAN
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:20
  3. MTL
    J. Armia(1)SHG
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    5:27
  4. VAN
    B. Horvat(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    2-2
    7:13

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    1:13
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    14:56
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    15:05
  4. MTL
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    6-2
    16:30

3rd period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    6-3
    4:56
  2. MTL
    slapxG 0.03
    7-3
    18:55

Penalties

MTL 12 PIM·VAN 26 PIM

1st

  • 3:55MTLJonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 6:42MTLBrett Kulak · Slashingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 9:45VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 12:44VANJake Virtanen · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 12:44MTLBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 16:50VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 20:00MTLJoel Edmundson · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

2nd

  • 1:43VANAdam Gaudette · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 2:09MTLNick Suzuki · Slashingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 7:01MTLPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 9:16VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 16:30VANserved by J. Virtanen · Delaying game bench2 min

3rd

  • 14:42VANserved by N. Hoglander · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:32VANTyler Myers · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Joel Armia10 min
  • 19:11VANJay Beagle · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, 2nd 14:56 — MTL 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.18B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.18B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.16A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.15N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.13J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.11J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.08B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rafferty · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.00T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.00T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 1.8 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsVAN
3.67 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.74 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
1.41 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.62 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL78%22%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.59 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsVAN
42
Shots on goal
17
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/9
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
26
17
Hits
24
5
Blocked shots
18
2
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. RomanovD000+230.13000—22:31
26J. PetryD011+340.34000—22:18
6S. WeberD000020.15010—21:43
8B. ChiarotD101040.05022—21:17
73T. ToffoliC213+460.922005018:11
11B. GallagherR000-110.08100—17:20
14N. SuzukiC011+130.220126117:11
92J. DrouinL011+110.03002—17:03
44J. EdmundsonD000+210.06302—16:28
90T. TatarL011-130.100005015:58
17J. AndersonR101+120.33110—15:36
71J. EvansC101+120.251005413:41
15J. KotkaniemiC011+120.250006313:34
77B. KulakD000+120.03102—12:20
40J. ArmiaR224+330.37000—11:44
62A. LehkonenL011010.1320010011:36
24P. DanaultC000-110.023023311:28
41P. ByronL011+110.16300—10:03
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)17143.8241.83-1.1759:46

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).