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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Gaudette's goal at 1:53 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were VAN 35, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Mikko Koskinen stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.1 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN18117310535
EDMEDM07114210331

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:32

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:39
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:19

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.15win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    0:10
  2. VAN
    slapxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:53
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    3:44
  4. EDM
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    8:18
  5. VAN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    5-3
    13:46

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:39EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 12:53VANJake Virtanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

2nd

  • 10:01VANTravis Hamonic · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 18:08VANTravis Hamonic · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 15:45VANAlexander Edler · Cross checkingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 18:11EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Gaudette, 3rd 1:53 — VAN 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.21C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.21J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.21K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.15K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.09D. Kahun · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.08D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04A. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 3.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
2.95 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.65 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN41%59%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
35
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000020.07202—25:32
88N. SchmidtD000010.01040—24:18
43Q. HughesD022+230.13010—20:53
27T. HamonicD011+230.04024—19:55
40E. PetterssonC011+220.222004417:48
57T. MyersD000-100.00130—17:43
6B. BoeserR202+240.3220010017:01
20B. SutterC000-130.2301010016:30
36N. HoglanderL101+230.34010—16:23
64T. MotteC000020.15210016:11
70T. PearsonL022+130.28100—16:05
53B. HorvatC112+140.671005015:57
18J. VirtanenR000+110.10002—15:46
83J. BeagleC000-110.092005015:06
26A. RousselL011010.02100—10:53
48O. JuoleviD000000.01110—10:16
96A. GaudetteR101010.141003808:16
71Z. MacEwenR000010.10300—07:11
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(W)31283.9033.48+0.4859:46

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).