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Golden Knights at Canucks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canucks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 7:02 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 33, VAN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Pacioretty (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nate Schmidt (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Stone (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Schmidt1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Stone3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK21101438533
VANVAN18212011331

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    9:28
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    11:15
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    13:19

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:07
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    11:26

3rd period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    2:52
  2. VGK
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +29 pts
    4-3
    7:02
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.42win prob +16 pts
    5-3
    8:29

Penalties

VGK 10 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:03VANserved by J. Virtanen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:07VGKChandler Stephenson · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 10:36VGKChandler Stephenson · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 13:26VGKJonathan Marchessault · High stickingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 16:22VGKJonathan Marchessault · Interferencedrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min

3rd

  • 10:45VANAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 16:08VGKMarc-Andre Fleury · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalVGK goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, 3rd 7:02 — VGK 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.25B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.24B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.22E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.21T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.18J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.17J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.15J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.15A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsVAN
4.35 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.54 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.21 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK62%38%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.48 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsVAN
33
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
47
16
Blocked shots
18
21
Giveaways
26
15
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. MartinezD011+110.01030—22:36
27S. TheodoreD022+150.56100—22:31
88N. SchmidtD112+250.38240—20:19
3B. McNabbD000+120.03400—19:24
2Z. WhitecloudD000010.06310—19:13
19R. SmithR000010.04200—17:10
26P. StastnyC000010.162302816:52
10N. RoyC000+110.093203316:19
89A. TuchR000+120.13000—15:48
20C. StephensonC101+110.240044415:31
61M. StoneR033+120.26110—15:27
81J. MarchessaultR000010.2710410015:07
71W. KarlssonC101+150.802104514:48
21N. CousinsC000+110.80200014:12
67M. PaciorettyL213+130.13100—14:09
15J. MerrillD011+100.03200—14:08
75R. ReavesR000+110.2181010009:50
28W. CarrierL000+100.06500—09:38
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)31283.9032.80-0.2060:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).