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Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 10:24 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 70% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were MIN 31, VAN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Alex Stalock (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Jared Spurgeon (2 G, 1 A), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    A. Stalock28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11218111331
VANVAN01401004028

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:50

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    10:24

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51
    3-0
    19:13

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·VAN 27 PIM

1st

  • 1:19MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Ferland5 min
  • 1:19VANMicheal Ferland · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 2:47VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 4:17VANTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 18:09MINZach Parise · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 18:09VANserved by M. Ferland · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 9:53VANTanner Pearson · Slashingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min

3rd

  • 0:24VANTanner Pearson · Slashingdrawn by Alex Stalock2 min
  • 9:20MINserved by R. Hartman · Interference bench2 min
  • 9:20VANMicheal Ferland · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 15:19MINMikko Koivu · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 19:13VANAntoine Roussel · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMIN goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, 2nd 10:24 — MIN 70% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.13T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.10C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.10B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.08T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.00A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN0 G · 1.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVAN
2.92 G
All situations
0 G1.5
2.30 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.12 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN69%31%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVAN
31
Shots on goal
28
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/4
Power play
0/1
11
Penalty minutes
27
28
Hits
40
15
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+110.01010—23:36
46J. SpurgeonD213+120.58040—22:46
24M. DumbaD000030.07230—22:00
25J. BrodinD000010.01010—21:57
22K. FialaL101050.29100—17:29
12E. StaalC022020.401103217:08
14J. Eriksson EkC000+130.092005016:24
18J. GreenwayL000020.1800010016:00
11Z. PariseL000030.44102—15:51
21C. SoucyD000000.00010—15:08
27A. GalchenyukC000010.191003614:34
19L. KuninC000010.0551010014:33
36M. ZuccarelloR000000.00210—14:19
77B. HuntD000010.20000—14:16
38R. HartmanR000+130.1631010013:20
17M. FolignoL000000.00715—12:11
9M. KoivuC000+120.220023611:17
6R. DonatoC000010.05300010:57
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)282801.0001.46+1.4659:57

Series

VAN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).