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Islanders at Panthers
NHL

New York Islanders at Florida Panthers

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 15:10 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYI 38, FLA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (2 G), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Semyon Varlamov (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI21611527538
FLAFLA1806011125

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:32
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:10
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    18:41

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    8:01

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    10:34
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.89
    5-1
    17:17

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:57NYIRyan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 18:29NYIJordan Eberle · Hookingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
  • 18:57FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

2nd

  • 7:47FLAserved by E. Dadonov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:41NYIBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 18:44FLALucas Wallmark · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

3rd

  • 2:05NYILeo Komarov · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 19:29NYICasey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYI goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 1st 15:10 — NYI 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.32A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.17E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.13A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.10M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.09K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.07L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsFLA
3.94 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.73 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI52%48%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsFLA
38
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
40
Hits
28
31
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC112+250.850205021:33
4A. GreeneD000+100.00230—20:34
2N. LeddyD000+110.08230—20:04
24S. MayfieldD000+320.13020—19:48
3A. PelechD000+100.00110—19:21
6R. PulockD011+120.04462—19:04
7J. EberleR011+110.02112—19:01
29B. NelsonC112+150.434025218:35
12J. BaileyR022+210.06000—18:30
27A. LeeL000+150.634103317:56
25D. ToewsD011+100.00050—17:54
18A. BeauvillierR202+250.50310—17:12
44J. PageauC101+120.902304015:08
47L. KomarovR011+130.05522—13:15
10D. BrassardC000040.194004411:08
53C. CizikasC000+100.002025010:19
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.070105007:53
17M. MartinL000010.00600—06:02
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)25241.9602.46+1.4660:00

Series

NYI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).