Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 4:25 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were MTL 27, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Carey Price stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Sheary (2 A), 2. Carey Price (35 saves, .946), 3. Matt Murray (26 saves, .963).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-14:25
3rd period
0-214:41
1-217:50
1-319:50
Penalties
1st
- 7:04
served by J. Kotkaniemi · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 11:23
Marcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
- 12:35
Joel Armia · Holdingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min
- 13:08
Brian Dumoulin · Holdingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
- 14:54
served by J. Kotkaniemi · Too many men on the ice2 min
2nd
- 5:33
Bryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
- 9:33
Joel Armia · Hookingdrawn by John Marino2 min
- 13:27
Joel Armia · Trippingdrawn by Justin Schultz2 min
- 13:27
Shea Weber · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 13:27
Evgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min
- 15:01
Paul Byron · Slashingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 1st 4:25 — 54% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.51 G
- All situations
- 2 G5.3
- 1.31 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 3.31
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/5
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 31
- Hits
- 20
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 11
- Giveaways
- 10
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Series
MTL leads 3-1
3@
2OTFinal
1@
3this game
3@
4Final
0@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
