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Jets at Oilers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 0:29 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were WPG 25, EDM 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (2 G), 3. Darnell Nurse (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01221023425
EDMEDM09217012238

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    T. Ennis(16)
    K. Yamamoto (15)
    wristxG 0.65win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:09
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(22)
    N. Ehlers (33), N. Beaulieu (7)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:25
  3. WPG
    P. Laine(28)
    C. Eakin (10)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    16:28
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(34)
    Z. Kassian (19), D. Nurse (28)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    18:23

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(37)
    B. Wheeler (43), N. Pionk (39)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    0:29
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(38)EN
    M. Scheifele (44), J. Morrissey (26)
    wristxG 0.57win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:20

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·EDM 0 PIM

1st

  • 15:11WPGKyle Connor · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 0:29 — WPG 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.65C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.35R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.18E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.11K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.10T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.07O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.05T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.05T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.05O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM2 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
3.03 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG24%76%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
20
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
12D. DeMeloD000+200.00210—23:57
4N. PionkD011-150.08510—23:12
44J. MorrisseyD011+310.04120—22:59
7D. KulikovD000-110.02110—21:48
55M. ScheifeleC011010.100002521:35
26B. WheelerR112+220.13100—19:18
81K. ConnorL202041.74002—19:01
9A. CoppC000020.04000016:30
27N. EhlersL011+210.03000—15:46
28J. RoslovicC000020.13100014:43
20C. EakinC011+200.050005514:38
88N. BeaulieuD011+100.01320—14:38
17A. LowryC000030.111004513:43
3T. PoolmanD000000.00110—13:12
29P. LaineL101+120.36110—12:04
82M. AppletonC000-100.00000012:01
21N. ShoreC000010.030005009:54
85M. PerreaultC000000.12300008:37
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)38362.9473.32+1.3260:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).