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Predators at Canadiens
NHL

Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV FS-TN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 2:57 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 36, MTL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G, 1 A), 2. Roman Josi (2 A), 3. Lukas Vejdemo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    L. Vejdemo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01441804436
MTLMTL07014213234

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(14)
    F. Forsberg (27), V. Arvidsson (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:51
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(15)
    K. Turris (22)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:57
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(20)PPG
    R. Josi (48), C. Smith (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    8:18
  4. NSH
    F. Forsberg(21)
    R. Josi (49), R. Ellis (30)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    16:00

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Lehkonen(13)
    X. Ouellet (2), N. Suzuki (28)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    2:45
  2. MTL
    L. Vejdemo(1)
    D. Weise (4), J. Evans (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    8:40

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:49MTLBen Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 5:00MTLXavier Ouellet · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

2nd

  • 4:10NSHFilip Forsberg · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 7:46MTLJoel Armia · Trippingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 17:59MTLJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Rocco Grimaldi2 min
  • 19:21NSHRyan Ellis · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNSH goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, 2nd 2:57 — NSH 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.22A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.21J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.17N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.17N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.16L. Vejdemo · Goal · xG 0.15J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.14J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.10B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.10P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09L. Vejdemo · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.09C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.08M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.06J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.05L. Vejdemo · Missed · xG 0.04P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.02J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMTL
2.04 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH30%70%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMTL
36
Shots on goal
34
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
36
27
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022+240.12010—23:29
64M. GranlundC000-110.052003321:48
4R. EllisD011+230.05132—21:26
9F. ForsbergL213+150.37102—20:11
14M. EkholmD000020.07010—20:11
95M. DucheneC000000.101107717:36
57D. FabbroD000010.02010—17:34
24J. TinordiD000-110.02310—16:19
22K. HolzerD000-110.01370—15:19
92R. JohansenC101030.180107115:09
33V. ArvidssonL011060.36020—15:07
10C. SissonsC000010.0601010014:49
8K. TurrisC011+110.010105014:28
13N. BoninoC000000.010405014:28
15C. SmithC011030.33010013:40
23R. GrimaldiR000010.02010—11:52
19C. JarnkrokC101+120.1600010011:47
32Y. TreninC000+110.05610010:47
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)34322.9413.12+1.1260:00

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).