Blue Jackets at Canucks 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

▸2

Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FS-O, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Emil Bemstrom's goal at 7:18 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were CBJ 22, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G), 3. Elvis Merzlikins (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

★
P. Dubois1 A
★★
E. Pettersson1 G
★★★
E. Merzlikins26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	03	27	012	222
VAN	06	09	112	127

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

E. Bemstrom(10)
P. Dubois (31), A. Wennberg (17)
wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
1-0
7:18
E. Robinson(7)
D. Savard (11), V. Gavrikov (13)
slapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
2-0
19:32

3rd period

E. Pettersson(27)
O. Fantenberg (5)
wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
2-1
8:19

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

8:11David Savard · Interferencedrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
19:48Quinn Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

2nd

7:44David Savard · High stickingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

6:07Elias Pettersson · Elbowingdrawn by Eric Robinson2 min
11:10Emil Bemstrom · Holdingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: VAN

Biggest swing: Emil Bemstrom, 2nd 7:18 — CBJ 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 1.6 xG · 35 att VAN

1 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.62 G
All situations: 1 G2.3; 1.42 G
Even strength: 1 G1.7; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.6; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

37%63%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.61 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

22
Shots on goal: 27; 52%
Faceoffs: 48%; 0/2
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 21
Hits: 23; 15
Blocked shots: 15; 3
Giveaways: 8; 3
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
27R. MurrayD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	3	0	—	23:37
8Z. WerenskiD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	—	22:36
44V. GavrikovD	0	1	1	+2	2	0.04	2	0	0	—	22:24
58D. SavardD	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	3	4	4	—	22:05
71N. FolignoL	0	0	0	0	0	0.16	5	1	0	33	21:29
14G. NyquistR	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	1	0	—	20:00
38B. JennerC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	3	0	71	19:41
10A. WennbergC	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	0	17:17
18P. DuboisC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.26	0	0	0	43	16:22
52E. BemstromC	1	0	1	0	5	0.35	2	0	2	0	15:46
2A. PeekeD	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	0	—	15:33
20R. NashC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	56	15:29
11K. StenlundC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.10	0	0	0	0	14:26
50E. RobinsonL	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	2	0	0	—	12:25
65M. NutivaaraD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	11:53
23S. MatteauC	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	1	0	0	08:12
15J. liljaL	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	—	07:45
74D. ShoreC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	50	07:00

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)	27	26	1	.963	2.27	+1.27	60:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-0

Mar 13@5Final
Mar 82@1this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at Vancouver Canucks

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score