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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG+, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Rangers 6-4. The Rangers scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fredrik Claesson's goal at 1:36 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 29, NYR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.3 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (2 G), 2. Travis Zajac (2 G), 3. Damon Severson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Zajac2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Severson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11241116629
NYRNYR21201429435

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:34
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:22
  3. NYR
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:18

2nd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood (12), D. Mermis (3)
    slapxG 0.28win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:44
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:36
  3. NJD
    T. Zajac(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    16:19
  4. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    16:44

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    13:42
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.76
    6-3
    19:04
  3. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.06
    6-4
    19:17

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:14NJDNico Hischier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:31NJDDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

2nd

  • 3:29NJDMichael McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 14:46NYRAdam Fox · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Fredrik Claesson, 2nd 1:36 — NJD 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.19G. McKegg · Goal · xG 0.18F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.17R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.13J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.12B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.11R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.10R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
4.35 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.94 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD56%44%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
29
Shots on goal
35
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
22
14
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD011-110.02000—26:23
25M. MuellerD000020.12430—24:01
28D. SeversonD022+300.00122—21:24
32D. MermisD022+300.00220—19:19
37P. ZachaC000000.003002918:00
19T. ZajacC202020.941003617:40
14J. AndersonR000010.0911010017:26
13N. HischierC011010.291024716:29
44M. WoodL011020.30200—16:14
21K. PalmieriC202+130.84100015:53
5C. CarrickD000-220.05220—14:53
97N. GusevL011-130.15000—14:15
16K. RooneyC000+240.48110013:30
86J. HughesC000-120.34010013:25
63J. BrattL000-120.38010—13:20
33F. ClaessonD101-110.05130—12:39
41M. McLeodC000+200.001028010:10
15J. HaydenC101+130.29300008:59
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(W)35314.8862.70-1.3060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).