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Canucks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Marincin's goal at 0:18 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were VAN 27, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.5 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G), 2. Tyson Barrie (2 A), 3. Tanner Pearson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    T. Barrie2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    T. Pearson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN2707013227
TORTOR29010211430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    F. Gauthier(7)
    T. Barrie (33), R. Sandin (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:45
  2. VAN
    T. Motte(4)
    B. Sutter (9), J. Beagle (6)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:28
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(45)
    T. Dermott (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    6:25
  4. VAN
    T. Pearson(19)
    B. Horvat (31), A. Edler (25)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    11:01

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marincin(1)
    J. Tavares (32), T. Barrie (34)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    0:18
  2. TOR
    Z. Hyman(21)EN
    M. Marner (49), T. Dermott (7)
    wristxG 0.96win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:06

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:51VANChris Tanev · High stickingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

2nd

  • 4:53TORTravis Dermott · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 6:26VANAdam Gaudette · Hookingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

3rd

  • 3:08TORWilliam Nylander · Holdingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 11:36VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 19:05VANTyler Toffoli · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVAN goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Marincin, 3rd 0:18 — TOR 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.96A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.16W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.15W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.14A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14M. Marincin · Goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marincin · Missed · xG 0.07K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 3.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTOR
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN46%54%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTOR
27
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
10
15
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000-210.11020—25:44
57T. MyersD000-220.22340—23:04
23A. EdlerD011+120.03112—21:35
40E. PetterssonC000-100.03110021:04
9J. MillerC000-120.251106720:44
53B. HorvatC011-120.201104318:14
73T. ToffoliC000-100.22202018:11
8C. TanevD000-110.03002—17:32
51T. StecherD000+120.04010—16:20
70T. PearsonL101030.19000—15:15
64T. MotteC101-120.29220014:44
20B. SutterC011-120.052002513:30
18J. VirtanenR000020.21100—13:28
5O. FantenbergD000-100.03300—12:30
21L. ErikssonL000010.00100—11:53
88A. GaudetteR000-110.110024311:16
83J. BeagleC011010.081105310:08
26A. RousselL000030.21110—09:07
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)29263.8972.50-0.5058:46

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).