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New York Rangers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MSG 2, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fox's goal at 12:21 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYR 35, MTL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tomas Tatar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR09111415535
MTLMTL11311209234

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Petry (29), T. Tatar (36)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:12

2nd period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:01
  2. NYR
    A. Fox (27), R. Lindgren (12)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:34

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    11:06
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    12:21
  3. NYR
    R. Strome(17)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    15:23
  4. NYR
    R. Strome(18)EN
    wristxG 0.38win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:27

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:13MTLJeff Petry · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:53NYRAdam Fox · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Weal2 min
  • 9:03NYRJesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 11:42NYRserved by C. Kreider · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 7:58MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 13:53MTLBrendan Gallagher · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Fox, 3rd 12:21 — NYR 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.27P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.20P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.19P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.17M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.16T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.16P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.14J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.14P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.14M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.04P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsMTL
2.74 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR37%63%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsMTL
35
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
15
25
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000020.03220—22:31
23A. FoxD112+250.26022—21:35
93M. ZibanejadC101040.310005421:34
55R. LindgrenD022+100.00150—19:11
18M. StaalD011+110.01020—19:10
77T. DeAngeloD011020.03000—18:42
10A. PanarinL022+100.04010—18:17
72F. ChytilC000020.090002916:28
17J. FastR000-110.05202—16:17
42B. SmithD000000.00230—15:34
20C. KreiderL000+140.27200—15:26
16R. StromeC213+260.860003315:23
21B. HowdenC000+100.001604315:15
24K. KakkoR000+130.17000—14:16
48B. LemieuxL000-110.05420—13:52
33P. Di GiuseppeL101+320.28420—10:34
14G. McKeggC000-110.212006710:06
12J. GauthierR011010.07200—09:55
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)34322.9413.14+1.1460:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).