Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Sonny Milano scoring at 2:05. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sonny Milano's goal at 2:05 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 32, ANA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.9 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Sonny Milano (2 G), 2. Josh Manson (1 A), 3. Tyler Ennis (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-15:46
0-213:12
2nd period
1-29:09
3rd period
2-24:23
2-312:33
3-315:25
Overtime
3-42:05
Penalties
1st
- 6:56
Adam Henrique · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
2nd
- 13:52
Adam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
- 19:23
Ryan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
3rd
- 3:30
Danton Heinen · High stickingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
- 6:02
Caleb Jones · Holdingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min
OT
- 1:09
Connor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sonny Milano, OT 2:05 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.23 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.1
- 2.82 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.09
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 27
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 9
- Giveaways
- 12
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
6@
2Final
3@
4OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
