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Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV PRIME, SNW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Sonny Milano scoring at 2:05. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sonny Milano's goal at 2:05 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 32, ANA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.9 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Sonny Milano (2 G), 2. Josh Manson (1 A), 3. Tyler Ennis (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    S. Milano2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Manson1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    T. Ennis1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM0611021303332
ANAANA210051412421

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:46
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:12

2nd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:09

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    4:23
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:33
  3. EDM
    T. Ennis (20), C. McDavid (56)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    15:25

Overtime

  1. ANA
    S. Milano(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:05

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:56ANAAdam Henrique · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

2nd

  • 13:52EDMAdam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 19:23ANARyan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 3:30ANADanton Heinen · High stickingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 6:02EDMCaleb Jones · Holdingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

OT

  • 1:09EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Sonny Milano, OT 2:05 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.19S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.19J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.16A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.13S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.13C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.12D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.11M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.11N. Deslauriers · Goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.10M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07A. Agozzino · Missed · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.04C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.04J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.03C. Djoos · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
3.23 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM68%32%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
32
Shots on goal
21
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74E. BearD000-150.10110—26:51
25D. NurseD000-130.05130—25:27
29L. DraisaitlC101-230.610005823:57
97C. McDavidC033+220.480028523:49
6A. LarssonD000+110.06202—21:42
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-240.28010020:12
82C. JonesD000+120.37202—18:18
15J. ArchibaldR000000.01210—16:57
28A. AthanasiouC112+220.39010016:50
63T. EnnisR112+240.34300—16:18
39A. ChiassonR000-110.09010—15:39
23R. SheahanC000-100.000205414:07
84W. LagessonD000-110.03000—13:15
27M. GreenD000-110.01300—12:48
16J. KhairaL000-110.17110—12:35
91G. HaasC000010.050004308:38
52P. RussellR000-210.20100—07:40
60M. GranlundC000000.00000007:12
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(O)21174.8102.09-1.9162:05

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).