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Senators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸4
Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Emil Bemstrom scoring at 4:35. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Emil Bemstrom's goal at 4:35 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 33, CBJ 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Marcus Hogberg stopped 41 of 45 (.911), 0.9 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Nick Foligno (2 G), 2. Emil Bemstrom (1 G), 3. Stefan Matteau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    N. Foligno2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    E. Bemstrom1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    S. Matteau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT1111131801333
CBJCBJ1151811715445

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    N. Foligno(8)
    P. Dubois (28), G. Nyquist (26)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:10
  2. OTT
    C. Brown(12)
    C. Tierney (21), C. Jaros (3)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:48

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. Brown(13)PPG
    A. Anisimov (5), M. Reilly (12)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    9:55
  2. CBJ
    N. Foligno(9)
    B. Jenner (12), V. Gavrikov (11)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    12:32

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. White(6)
    J. Hawryluk (3), M. Peca (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +32 pts
    3-2
    9:16
  2. CBJ
    S. Matteau(2)
    S. Harrington (5), K. Stenlund (3)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    9:45

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    E. Bemstrom(7)
    Z. Werenski (19), B. Jenner (13)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:35

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

2nd

  • 9:46CBJNick Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:46OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalOTT goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Emil Bemstrom, OT 4:35 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.28E. Bemstrom · Goal · xG 0.25S. Matteau · Goal · xG 0.23S. Matteau · On goal · xG 0.16N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.15S. Matteau · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.13N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.07P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07S. Matteau · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.05A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.04B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.04D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gerbe · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.02S. Matteau · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.02S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gerbe · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gerbe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Thurkauf · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gerbe · Missed · xG 0.01S. Matteau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 3.1 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCBJ
2.23 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.12 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT33%67%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCBJ
33
Shots on goal
45
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000020.11110—32:47
22N. ZaitsevD000-230.05410—26:55
81R. HainseyD000+100.00020—26:29
71C. TierneyC011030.110006324:55
5M. ReillyD011-210.08040—24:54
7B. TkachukL000-320.047106724:04
28C. BrownR202+150.14000—23:10
13N. PaulL000+120.181004323:08
51A. AnisimovC011-120.230106719:25
36C. WhiteC101-130.150106018:32
79J. HawrylukR011040.65500—15:38
10A. DuclairL000030.3700010013:33
89M. BoedkerL000-210.03210—12:18
53M. PecaC011010.010006709:00
39A. EnglundD000000.00200—06:49
83C. JarosD011000.00010—06:32
49S. SabourinR000010.01000—03:45
38R. BalcersL000000.00000—00:00
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Hogberg(O)45414.9113.06-0.9464:35

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).