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San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 1:10 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 30, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.1 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (2 A), 3. Devon Toews (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    D. Toews1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS110010010130
NYINYI1826112426

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(18)
    M. Barzal (33), J. Eberle (22)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:49
  2. SJS
    R. Simek (7), T. Meier (21)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:36

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(19)
    M. Barzal (34), D. Toews (18)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:10
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    17:38

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(13)EN
    A. Lee (19), B. Nelson (27)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:41

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:55SJSStefan Noesen · Trippingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min

3rd

  • 9:28SJSMario Ferraro · Hookingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 12:02SJSTimo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Andy Greene2 min
  • 19:26NYINick Leddy · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalSJS goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 2nd 1:10 — NYI 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.94K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.17J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.11K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.11M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.03M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kuhnhackl · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bellows · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 2.8 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNYI
2.11 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS55%45%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNYI
30
Shots on goal
26
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
18
24
Giveaways
26
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000050.28010—23:57
51R. SimekD011+110.12220—22:54
44M. VlasicD000-210.12120—20:46
38M. FerraroD000-210.03212—20:08
23B. GoodrowC000-110.095202717:45
9E. KaneL000-150.1801010017:25
67J. MiddletonD000-110.04210—16:59
7D. GambrellC101-120.163004216:55
28T. MeierR011-230.20402—15:25
11S. NoesenR000030.32012—14:56
72T. HeedD000-210.01010—14:45
62K. LabancR000-220.12200—14:35
20M. SorensenL000000.00000—14:01
19J. ThorntonC000-210.070003613:53
70A. TrueC000010.004005713:42
12P. MarleauC000-120.14010013:09
46J. KellmanC000000.051208312:42
73N. GregorL000000.18400—10:32
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)25223.8801.85-1.1559:31

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).