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Panthers at Golden Knights
NHL

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-F·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Panthers scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 19:08 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 35, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.8 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. William Carrier (1 G), 2. Tomas Nosek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Shea Theodore (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Carrier1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    T. Nosek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11016119335
VGKVGK11621726539

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(24)
    M. Pysyk (9), V. Trocheck (26)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:28
  2. VGK
    T. Nosek(7)
    R. Reaves (5), N. Holden (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:52

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(25)PPG
    A. Barkov (41), K. Yandle (38)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    0:42
  2. VGK
    W. Carrier(7)
    C. Stephenson (12)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    12:39
  3. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(29)
    S. Theodore (33)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    19:08

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(24)
    J. Marchessault (23), P. Stastny (17)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    0:19
  2. FLA
    A. Saarela(2)
    M. Hoffman (27), E. Dadonov (21)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    5:11
  3. VGK
    R. Smith(25)EN
    P. Stastny (18), T. Nosek (6)
    wristxG 0.88win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:43

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:55FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Gage Quinney2 min
  • 19:45VGKMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

2nd

  • 1:41VGKWilliam Carrier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Samuel Montembeault2 min
  • 10:08FLAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Gage Quinney2 min
  • 17:11FLANoel Acciari · Boardingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 17:11VGKWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min

3rd

  • 5:11VGKserved by G. Quinney · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalFLA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, 2nd 19:08 — VGK 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.88J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.19J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.18C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.15R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.12A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.11C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.11M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.09G. Quinney · On goal · xG 0.08B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.08T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.07N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05G. Quinney · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.03P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 4.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVGK
3.03 G
All situations
4 G4.1
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA46%54%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVGK
35
Shots on goal
39
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000020.03002—24:43
16A. BarkovC011-220.300006323:17
52M. WeegarD000+110.09110—21:55
6A. StralmanD000-100.05020—20:43
11J. HuberdeauL000-230.17020—19:26
3K. YandleD011-420.04020—19:21
68M. HoffmanC112-140.75000018:56
55N. AcciariC000-130.251125017:54
61R. StillmanD000000.00130—17:50
63E. DadonovL112-160.49000—17:49
13M. PysykD011020.22220—15:34
77F. VatranoR000-130.10200—15:00
7C. SceviourC000-120.094305514:07
28A. SaarelaC101030.34010012:35
10B. ConnollyR000-110.05100—11:33
2J. BrownD000-100.03000—10:16
21V. TrocheckC011000.001024609:57
73D. HuntL000010.04210—04:29
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Montembeault(L)38344.8953.19-0.8158:35

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).