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Lightning at Coyotes
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
Utah Mammoth
▸7
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, SUN·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Coyotes led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Richardson's goal at 11:04 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were TBL 30, ARI 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 34 of 41 (.829), 4.0 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (2 G, 2 A), 2. Clayton Keller (2 G, 1 A), 3. Ilya Lyubushkin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Garland2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    I. Lyubushkin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL11021109330
ARIARI211218312741

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(15)
    A. Killorn (23), C. Gaunce (2)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:53
  2. ARI
    C. Garland(21)
    I. Lyubushkin (4), O. Ekman-Larsson (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:36
  3. ARI
    C. Keller(14)
    A. Goligoski (26), D. Stepan (17)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:46

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Soderberg(15)PPG
    C. Garland (16), A. Goligoski (27)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    5:51
  2. TBL
    O. Palat(15)
    C. Gaunce (3), Y. Gourde (16)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    8:45
  3. TBL
    B. Point(22)
    S. Stamkos (36), N. Kucherov (46)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    10:11
  4. ARI
    B. Richardson(5)
    T. Hall (34)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    3-4
    11:04

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(15)
    L. Crouse (10)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    11:51
  2. ARI
    C. Garland(22)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (34), T. Hall (35)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    14:28
  3. ARI
    D. Stepan(10)
    C. Garland (17), C. Keller (25)
    slapxG 0.18
    3-7
    18:46

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·ARI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 3:59TBLMikhail Sergachev · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 16:54TBLCameron Gaunce · Holdingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

3rd

  • 7:17TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 7:51ARIJordan Oesterle · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 14:09TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 14:28TBLserved by C. Verhaeghe · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalTBL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Brad Richardson, 2nd 11:04 — ARI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.27D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.19C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.17P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.16B. Richardson · Goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.15C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.11C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.10C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.05B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI7 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsARI
3.53 G
All situations
7 G3.0
3.03 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL56%44%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.39 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsARI
30
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000-250.27322—23:46
98M. SergachevD000+120.02122—23:11
21B. PointC101-140.48010021:14
91S. StamkosC011020.670004520:15
22K. ShattenkirkD000-120.12110—20:10
86N. KucherovR011-100.07012—18:24
71A. CirelliC101030.573104218:01
37Y. GourdeC011-200.003004017:40
55B. CoburnD000-210.01300—16:18
20B. ColemanL000+130.37110—15:31
33C. GaunceD022+120.12122—14:12
9T. JohnsonC000-100.191106413:54
17A. KillornL011+110.02100—13:06
2L. SchennD000-220.02510—11:51
18O. PalatL101-320.44300—11:33
14P. MaroonL000010.10100—11:14
23C. VerhaegheC000000.00000010:50
81E. CernakD000+100.00100—10:39
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)41347.8293.02-3.9860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).