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New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New Jersey Devils 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 9:21 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 1.0; shots on goal were NJD 17, STL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ivan Barbashev (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (17 saves, 1.000), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    I. Barbashev2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington17 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD060506017
STLSTL013111215339

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    9:21

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:27
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    14:45

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:42NJDP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 6:42STLAlexander Steen · Playing without a helmet2 min
  • 18:47NJDserved by N. Merkley · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 3:28NJDNick Merkley · High stickingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 11:50STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 11:55NJDWayne Simmonds · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

3rd

  • 5:45STLRobert Thomas · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Merkley4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNJD goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 2nd 9:21 — STL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.35J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.27C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.25S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.19I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.14V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.07V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsSTL
1.00 G
All situations
3 G3.6
0.80 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD10%90%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.05 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsSTL
17
Shots on goal
39
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
9
12
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000-310.20110—27:22
76P. SubbanD000-110.00222—25:25
25M. MuellerD000-100.00020—23:44
2C. WhiteD000000.02010—20:16
13N. HischierC000-220.201005519:46
21K. PalmieriC000-210.13110019:17
86J. HughesC000-220.03000018:05
19T. ZajacC000-100.000005818:03
5C. CarrickD000-110.01120—17:53
37P. ZachaC000020.190006716:20
97N. GusevL000-110.01000—14:31
17W. SimmondsR000030.14302—13:41
44M. WoodL000-110.02100—13:19
14J. AndersonR000000.03000—12:36
39N. MerkleyR000010.04202—10:15
15J. HaydenC000010.02100010:10
16K. RooneyC000000.001103309:46
8W. ButcherD000000.00010—01:31
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)39363.9233.63+0.6360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).