Skip to content

Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSCH+·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 3:38 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 37% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were CHI 41, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.2 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 38 of 41 (.927). Three stars: 1. Kailer Yamamoto (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI212111018341
EDMEDM21321315531

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:13
  2. CHI
    P. Kane (43), C. Murphy (12)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:56
  3. CHI
    J. Toews(15)SHG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    14:19
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    17:18

2nd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (44), B. Saad (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:45
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.30win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    3:38
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    4:50

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.65win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:57

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:13CHIserved by A. DeBrincat · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:19CHIJonathan Toews · Trippingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min

2nd

  • 3:58CHIZack Smith · Slashingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 9:07EDMRiley Sheahan · Holdingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
  • 12:12EDMOscar Klefbom · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

3rd

  • 4:12EDMRiley Sheahan · Slashingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCHI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 2nd 3:38 — EDM 37% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.65K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.31R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.31K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.30R. Sheahan · Goal · xG 0.24Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.15A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsEDM
2.93 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.00 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI54%46%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsEDM
41
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR022+160.40010—23:10
56E. GustafssonD000-130.10000—23:03
5C. MurphyD011+150.09220—21:53
2D. KeithD000-100.04100—21:42
19J. ToewsC101-140.311026021:26
20B. SaadL112+130.4501010021:02
27A. BoqvistD101-120.08000—19:15
12A. DeBrincatR000-240.28200—17:48
8D. KubalikL000-240.54110—16:21
6O. MaattaD011+200.00300—16:00
77K. DachC000+230.230101115:06
68S. KoekkoekD000020.04210—14:43
22R. CarpenterC011+120.300102513:56
91D. CaggiulaL000-210.03400—13:22
64D. KampfC000000.001003812:25
15Z. SmithC000000.002027512:17
92A. NylanderL000020.0510010007:55
36M. HighmoreC000000.00000006:51
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(L)30264.8672.76-1.2457:54

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).