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Hurricanes at Stars
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Denis Gurianov's goal at 12:36 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 55% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 25, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (3 G), 2. Miro Heiskanen (2 A), 3. Denis Gurianov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    D. Gurianov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR190907125
DALDAL11221717436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(16)
    S. Johns (3), M. Heiskanen (21)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:54
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(31)
    A. Svechnikov (30), J. Slavin (23)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:38

2nd period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(16)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (22), R. Hintz (11)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    12:36
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(17)PPG
    T. Seguin (30)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    15:06

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(18)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.87win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:41

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:33DALRadek Faksa · Boardingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min

2nd

  • 4:42CARMartin Necas · Holding the stickdrawn by Stephen Johns2 min
  • 10:41CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 13:55CARBrock McGinn · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

3rd

  • 3:40CARJake Gardiner · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCAR goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Denis Gurianov, 2nd 12:36 — DAL 55% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.87R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.23J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.20T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.16J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.15J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.14A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.11A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.11A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.04S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 4.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDAL
1.81 G
All situations
4 G4.4
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR22%78%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDAL
25
Shots on goal
36
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000-120.03020—23:36
74J. SlavinD011040.14030—23:09
86T. TeravainenC000030.4500010020:19
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.01020—20:13
20S. AhoC101020.152005920:02
51J. GardinerD000-210.09002—18:45
37A. SvechnikovR011010.32200—16:34
6J. EdmundsonD000030.04210—16:10
4H. FleuryD000010.01120—14:51
11J. StaalC000-100.001122014:40
88M. NecasC000-210.01102014:30
23B. McGinnL000010.10012—14:09
18R. DzingelC000000.10010014:04
14J. WilliamsR000+130.19200—13:55
13W. FoegeleL000-110.0700010013:04
56E. HaulaL000000.000003312:48
71L. WallmarkC000020.090105011:47
21N. NiederreiterR000000.00200—11:23
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)36333.9173.55+0.5558:55

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).