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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 12:44 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 70% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were VGK 26, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.7 goals below expected; Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 2 A), 2. Alex Stalock (26 saves, 1.000), 3. Zach Parise (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    A. Stalock26 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0801404026
MINMIN2821205425

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    5:30
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala (23), R. Suter (32)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    12:44

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise (15), J. Brodin (21)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    9:11
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(21)PPG
    E. Staal (24), K. Fiala (24)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    15:47

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:30MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 0:30VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 0:30MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 3:37VGKJon Merrill · Interferencedrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 11:36VGKJonathan Marchessault · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 13:09MINMarcus Foligno · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:41MINJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

2nd

  • 1:11MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 3:25VGKMark Stone · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 14:54VGKJonathan Marchessault · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

3rd

  • 9:31VGKRyan Reaves · High stickingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, 1st 12:44 — MIN 70% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.31Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.18L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.15R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.12K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.06M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
1.80 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK37%63%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
26
Shots on goal
25
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
3/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
10
10
Blocked shots
17
1
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000-110.02020—24:09
27S. TheodoreD000020.07010—23:05
15J. MerrillD000020.05022—19:43
3B. McNabbD000010.05200—17:05
61M. StoneR000-120.150124017:01
20C. StephensonC000-100.000107716:59
26P. StastnyC000010.091007116:43
71W. KarlssonC000030.17200016:15
19R. SmithR000030.33010—16:14
89A. TuchR000030.29010—16:04
92T. NosekL000000.002104416:02
2Z. WhitecloudD000000.00000—15:36
67M. PaciorettyL000-130.3620010014:53
21C. EakinC000010.180004014:43
81J. MarchessaultR000040.05004—14:25
22N. HoldenD000-100.01100—12:39
75R. ReavesR000000.0030410010:44
28W. CarrierL000000.00000—09:46
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)20164.8002.29-1.7140:00
30M. Subban5501.0000.27+0.2720:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).