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Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2 in overtime, Mathew Dumba scoring at 2:21. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Dumba's goal at 2:21 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 29, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Alex Stalock stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Mathew Dumba (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 3. Marcus Foligno.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Dumba1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI0401021500229
MINMIN0122100715334

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    3:53
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala(11)PPG
    J. Zucker (15), M. Dumba (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    15:08

3rd period

  1. CHI
    D. Keith (14), B. Saad (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:23
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +39 pts
    2-2
    16:50

Overtime

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:21

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:50MINRyan Donato · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:27CHIPatrick Kane · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 19:57MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 10:03MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 14:15CHISlater Koekkoek · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Dumba, OT 2:21 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.31C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.29J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.27M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.20J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.17M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.17R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.13K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.12M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.04M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsMIN
2.22 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI35%65%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD011010.05010—25:22
5C. MurphyD000040.05220—21:02
88P. KaneR000-130.06102—20:22
19J. ToewsC000-110.201104420:12
56E. GustafssonD011010.01210—19:56
6O. MaattaD101+120.10020—19:12
27A. BoqvistD101010.01300—18:49
77K. DachC011+110.180002517:30
8D. KubalikL000-110.09000—16:47
12A. DeBrincatR000+120.24000—16:43
17D. StromeC000000.000105015:35
68S. KoekkoekD000010.03002—15:25
20B. SaadL011+100.000003315:20
64D. KampfC000+140.220006714:46
91D. CaggiulaL000020.25000—12:51
22R. CarpenterC000020.38000012:45
15Z. SmithC000000.000002511:00
92A. NylanderL000030.34000—10:33
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(O)34313.9123.12+0.1262:21

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).