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Golden Knights at Hurricanes
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 17:32 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 58% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 37, CAR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Petr Mrazek stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Paul Stastny (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    P. Stastny1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK21608213437
CARCAR0619210325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    P. Stastny(15)
    R. Smith (20), J. Marchessault (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:52
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(17)
    R. Smith (21)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:59

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(11)
    J. Martinook (9), S. Aho (19)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    9:55

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Schmidt(5)
    C. Stephenson (8), M. Stone (29)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    12:09
  2. CAR
    B. McGinn(5)
    H. Fleury (5), J. Williams (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    12:25
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(25)PPG
    J. Slavin (20), T. Teravainen (39)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    16:21
  4. VGK
    A. Tuch(7)PPG
    P. Stastny (12), S. Theodore (26)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +34 pts
    4-3
    17:32

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:08CARJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

2nd

  • 0:50CARWarren Foegele · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 4:01VGKDeryk Engelland · Trippingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min

3rd

  • 16:13VGKNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 17:26CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalVGK goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 3rd 17:32 — VGK 58% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.42S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.26J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.23A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.22A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.16B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.13B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.05L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.04R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR3 G · 2.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCAR
3.94 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK62%38%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCAR
37
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011040.15010—23:43
88N. SchmidtD101+320.21000—21:26
22N. HoldenD000010.01210—20:43
3B. McNabbD000+300.00410—19:24
26P. StastnyC112+240.470105618:45
61M. StoneR011030.66130—17:37
81J. MarchessaultR112+240.170006716:44
19R. SmithR022+240.79110—16:40
89A. TuchR101040.52120—16:06
67M. PaciorettyL000040.4110010015:54
5D. EngellandD000-210.02232—15:35
15J. MerrillD000-210.02110—15:31
20C. StephensonC011020.340207515:13
21C. EakinC000000.002103314:38
28W. CarrierL000000.00300—14:28
75R. ReavesR000-100.00600—12:25
92T. NosekL000-110.0200010011:46
10N. RoyC000-120.181025611:19
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(W)25223.8802.84-0.1659:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).