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Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV PRIME, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Marleau's goal at 15:32 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were ANA 28, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. John Gibson stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.9 goals below expected; Aaron Dell stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Patrick Marleau (2 G), 2. Stefan Noesen (2 G), 3. Dylan Gambrell (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    P. Marleau2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    S. Noesen2 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    D. Gambrell1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0419115228
SJSSJS21111317431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:55
  2. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:35

2nd period

  1. ANA
    O. Kase(6)SHG
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:04
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    15:32

3rd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    2:28
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    18:07

Penalties

ANA 7 PIM·SJS 9 PIM

2nd

  • 8:16ANACam Fowler · Trippingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min

3rd

  • 5:13SJSMelker Karlsson · Interferencedrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 17:47SJSTomas Hertl · Interferencedrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 17:47SJSEvander Kane · Fightingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson5 min
  • 17:47ANAErik Gudbranson · Fightingdrawn by Evander Kane5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalANA goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Patrick Marleau, 2nd 15:32 — SJS 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.27K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.25P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.20P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.14M. Sorensen · Missed · xG 0.13S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.13B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kellman · On goal · xG 0.10P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.06K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.05J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.03R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.03B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.02K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01
SJS4 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSJS
2.22 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA33%67%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
31
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
31
Hits
28
9
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD011+110.08000—22:37
4C. FowlerD000-220.05002—22:19
42J. MansonD000-220.01200—22:11
6E. GudbransonD011+130.04215—21:04
25O. KaseR101010.3601010018:31
67R. RakellR000-240.32000—18:23
37N. RitchieL101010.19110—17:53
14A. HenriqueC000-120.220106017:44
15R. GetzlafC000-220.163004217:04
34S. SteelC011010.000106216:12
32J. LarssonD000-200.00110—15:40
61T. TerryR000-100.00000—15:20
49M. JonesL000+110.14800—14:52
29D. ShoreC000-220.04400014:38
5K. HolzerD000-220.16120—13:36
38D. GrantC000-110.190005811:51
24C. RowneyC000-110.14500010:09
20N. DeslauriersL000-120.05400—09:28
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)31274.8713.12-0.8858:28

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).