Blue Jackets at Rangers 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

▸2

New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-O·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Rangers scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Bjorkstrand's goal at 19:33 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were CBJ 31, NYR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Matiss Kivlenieks stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Oliver Bjorkstrand (2 G), 2. Matiss Kivlenieks (31 saves, .969), 3. Igor Shesterkin (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

★
O. Bjorkstrand2 G
★★
M. Kivlenieks31 saves, .969
★★★
I. Shesterkin29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	09	08	214	231
NYR	111	07	014	132

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

B. Skjei(7)
J. Trouba (16)
snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
0-1
18:23

3rd period

O. Bjorkstrand(13)
Unassisted
snapxG 0.07win prob +27 pts
1-1
6:08
O. Bjorkstrand(14)
P. Dubois (20), S. Jones (22)
snapxG 0.15win prob +48 pts
2-1
19:33

Penalties

0 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

16:15Brady Skjei · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYR

Biggest swing: Oliver Bjorkstrand, 3rd 19:33 — CBJ 49% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.3 xG · 48 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att NYR

1 G · 2.3 xG · 48 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.02 G
All situations: 1 G2.3; 1.82 G
Even strength: 1 G2.1; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.0; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

44%56%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

31
Shots on goal: 32; 59%
Faceoffs: 41%; 0/1
Power play: 0/0; 0
Penalty minutes: 2; 24
Hits: 26; 14
Blocked shots: 15; 5
Giveaways: 11; 11
Takeaways: 13

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	FO%	TOI
8Z. WerenskiD	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	0	—	26:40
3S. JonesD	0	1	1	+1	4	0.06	1	2	—	25:37
44V. GavrikovD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	—	19:17
58D. SavardD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	3	—	18:23
10A. WennbergC	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	63	17:33
28O. BjorkstrandR	2	0	2	+1	6	0.46	0	0	—	17:17
13C. AtkinsonR	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	0	—	17:03
71N. FolignoL	0	0	0	+2	2	0.19	3	1	—	16:30
18P. DuboisC	0	1	1	+2	2	0.22	2	0	86	16:29
14G. NyquistR	0	0	0	-1	3	0.41	1	0	—	16:13
52E. BemstromC	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	16:13
38B. JennerC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	62	15:30
65M. NutivaaraD	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	—	15:24
24N. GerbeC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:12
4S. HarringtonD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	4	—	12:33
50E. RobinsonL	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	—	12:24
20R. NashC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	33	11:47
15J. liljaL	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	1	—	10:55

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
80M. Kivlenieks(W)	32	31	1	.969	2.28	+1.28	60:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Dec 53@2Final
Jan 192@1this game
Feb 143@1Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers

1st period

3rd period

1st

Box score