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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 19:57 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 27, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.2 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Cale Makar (1 G), 3. Matt Calvert (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Calvert1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0801108027
COLCOL21321807438

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:45
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:57

2nd period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    9:59
  2. COL
    M. Calvert(12)SHG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    12:42

Penalties

SJS 20 PIM·COL 18 PIM

1st

  • 12:17SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 11:53COLMikko Rantanen · Holding the stickdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 19:35COLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

3rd

  • 11:38SJSTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 11:38COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 13:33SJSBrenden Dillon · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 15:43COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 15:43SJSStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 15:43COLNazem Kadri · Misconductdrawn by Timo Meier10 min
  • 15:43SJSTimo Meier · Misconductdrawn by Nazem Kadri10 min
  • 16:43SJSEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 1st 19:57 — COL 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.23M. Calvert · Goal · xG 0.17M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.17M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.07R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · Goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
1.50 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS25%75%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.48 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
38
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/2
Power play
0/3
20
Penalty minutes
18
25
Hits
11
13
Blocked shots
11
1
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-220.05000—21:48
48T. HertlC000030.241102720:34
9E. KaneL000-120.16212—18:17
88B. BurnsD000-130.10120—18:09
44M. VlasicD000-110.01012—17:19
51R. SimekD000020.02320—17:16
12P. MarleauC000-220.080003317:00
4B. DillonD000-100.00322—16:45
62K. LabancR000020.05310—15:58
20M. SorensenL000-110.14200—15:55
23B. GoodrowC000-310.092005015:14
28T. MeierR000-340.254012—15:10
68M. KarlssonC000-130.21000014:39
38M. FerraroD000-100.00310—14:17
19J. ThorntonC000-210.070003613:47
46J. KellmanC000000.001103312:50
11S. NoesenR000000.00012—12:39
72T. HeedD000-100.01000—12:28
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)38344.8952.83-1.1759:53

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).