Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bozak's goal at 2:21 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 21, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. John Gibson stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.5 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (20 saves, .952), 2. Brayden Schenn (2 A), 3. Alexander Steen (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-17:53
1-115:23
2nd period
1-22:21
1-39:41
3rd period
1-410:29
Penalties
2nd
- 7:49
Josh Manson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by David Perron2 min
- 7:49
David Perron · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
- 9:34
Max Jones · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
3rd
- 3:33
David Perron · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
- 5:59
David Perron · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tyler Bozak, 2nd 2:21 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.61 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.5
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.3
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.41
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 18
- Hits
- 16
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 6
- Giveaways
- 7
- 9
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
