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Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV PRIME, NBCSCH+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Ducks scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Blackhawks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 4:20 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.2 to 3.4; shots on goal were ANA 37, CHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. John Gibson stopped 29 of 33 (.879); Robin Lehner stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dominik Kubalik (2 G), 2. Jonathan Toews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Robin Lehner (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    R. Lehner35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11009118237
CHICHI1821718433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    O. Kase (12)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:37
  2. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:13

2nd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (33), J. Toews (24)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:20
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    12:21

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    2:29
  2. CHI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    3:59

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:57ANAErik Gudbranson · Trippingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min

2nd

  • 0:36CHIRyan Carpenter · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalANA goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 2nd 4:20 — CHI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.62D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.24M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.23D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.23J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.18D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.18J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.18R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.16D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.15D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.14P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.11D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.11D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.10S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.06A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI4 G · 4.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCHI
3.42 G
All situations
4 G4.2
3.12 G
Even strength
4 G3.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA48%52%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.36 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCHI
37
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-110.01000—22:37
4C. FowlerD000-120.13110—22:14
67R. RakellR101070.9030010022:10
34S. SteelC000020.211104820:39
42J. MansonD000020.16430—20:22
25O. KaseR011-130.21010—19:59
15R. GetzlafC000-210.042006319:41
6E. GudbransonD000-210.10222—19:12
14A. HenriqueC000-240.60310018:50
44M. Del ZottoD000000.00210—15:42
32J. LarssonD000030.04120—15:13
53M. ComtoisL011+120.21200—14:32
11D. SprongR000-130.38100—13:41
29D. ShoreC000-120.011204013:27
48I. LundestromC011+100.000103812:28
24C. RowneyC000020.11220011:15
49M. JonesL101020.30110—10:18
20N. DeslauriersL000-100.00300—08:27
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)33294.8793.58-0.4257:13

Season series

CHI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).